The difference between Web 1.0 and Web 2.0 is that Web 2.0 is social. (Each Snowflake Is Unique) To me the inherent beauty of the web is that it has, it will make big political, social, economic changes possible, big as in huge, humongous huge.
In 1995 Bill Gates talked of "business at the speed of thought," and that was before he "got" the internet. I am talking about political, social and economic change at the speed of imagination. (Barackface: Political Sci-Fi) Could we take democracy to every country on the planet? The non-violent way? Could we end racism? Sexism? Could we end human trafficking? Could we end slavery, bondage? Yes, they still exist. Could we eradicate poverty? Could we make education, health, and credit universally accessible? Could we pour a trillion dollars into microfinance? Could we have a democratic world government? Could we end female infanticide? Could we end female circumcision?
Google Wave could make possible political, social, economic tsunamis. Big things might become possible.
I am going to argue search is still the wave of the future. Google Wave might/will become the new paradigm in communicating, collaborating, publishing even. But the aspect of the web experience that is still the most exciting, and still the most primitive is search itself.
Most of the knowledge I expect to consume in the future will not reside in my mind or in the minds of people I already know. If it did, Google Wave would be the only relevant destination. But we know that not to be true.
Search is like poverty, (Hunger, Vision, Money) it is not any one thing. It is a complex set of things, it is a phenomenon. It is many things, many layers, many dimensions. And Google stands to be challenged. The news is not that Wolfram Alpha is no Google killer. The real news is look how easy it was for Wolfram Alpha to get 100 million queries. (Wolfram Alpha: An Answer Engine, Not A Search Engine)
But just like the next big thing in communication/collaboration came from inside Google itself, it is very possible the next few big things in search will come from inside Google itself. It is very possible. But I am going to bet those next big things are going to come from small startup like teams inside the Google incubator rather than from Google Corporate. We will have to wait and watch.
From The Google Blogs
Introducing the Google Wave APIs: what can you build? Google Wave Developer Blog The Google Wave APIs come in two flavors: Embed and Extensions. With Embed, you're able to bring waves into your own site through a simple JavaScriptAPI. For example, embedding a wave in a webpage is a good way to encourage a discussion among the visitors. With Extensions, you're able to write programs, which are packaged as Robots or Gadgets, that provide rich functionality inside the Google Wave web client. Went Walkabout. Brought back Google Wave. The Official Google Blog Search engineer stories Four years later, I'm still constantly awed by how challenging search is. We work on improving the entire search process, including formulating queries, evaluating results, reading and understanding information, and digging deeper with this new information. Every day we work on ways, both big and small, for search to be better, faster, and more effortless.
Kicking off 2nd annual Google I/O developer gathering New Logo Look Netlog integrates with Google Friend Connect Put the pedal to the metal with a faster Google Chrome Faster is better on Google Suggest Congratulations Eric Yang, winner of the 2008-2009 National Geographic Bee Announcing the 2009 Doodle 4 Google Winner Energized about our first Google PowerMeter partners Find out about the new creative trafficking Google I/0 2009 A galactic mentor Step into the spotlight with YouTube Insight The best and the brightest Behind the scenes of the Search Options panel Bike to Work Day 2009 This is your pilot speaking. Now, about that holding pattern... Understanding health-related searches 30,000 new Google Apps business users at Valeo We have a Knol for Dummies.com winner! A planetarium in your pocket More Search Options and other updates from our Searchology event 18th International World Wide Web Conference Energy and the Internet Announcing the 2009 Anita Borg Scholars and Finalists Vote for the national Doodle 4 Google winner A Mom's Day menu Google Chrome ads on TV The power of video Strengthening a worldwide community with Google Friend Connect The 2008 Founders' Letter By late 1992, there were only 26 websites in the world so there was not much need for a search engine. ..... the vast majority of our services are available worldwide and free to users because they are supported by ads ..... a child in an Internet cafe in a developing nation can use the same online tools as the wealthiest person in the world. I am proud of the small role Google has played in the democratization of information ..... In the past year alone we have made 359 changes to our web search — nearly one per day. ...... Perfect search requires human-level artificial intelligence, which many of us believe is still quite distant. However, I think it will soon be possible to have a search engine that "understands" more of the queries and documents than we do today. Others claim to have accomplished this, and Google's systems have more smarts behind the curtains than may be apparent from the outside, but the field as a whole is still shy of where I would have expected it to be. Part of the reason is the dramatic growth of the web — for any particular query, it is likely there are many documents on the topic using the exact same vocabulary. And as the web grows, so does the breadth and depth of the curiosity of those searching. I expect our search engine to become much "smarter" in the coming decade. ......... Today you can search from your cell phone by just speaking into it and Google Reader can suggest interesting blogs without any query at all. It is my expectation that in the next decade our searches and results will look very different than they do today. ........ via Google Groups we made available and searchable the most comprehensive archive of Usenet postings ever assembled (800 million messages dating back to 1981). ....... In the future, using enhanced computer vision technology, we hope to be able to understand what's depicted in the image itself. ......... Video is often thought of as an entertainment medium, but it is also a very important source of high-quality information. ....... Yet videos are also great resources for topics such as computer hardware and software (I bought my last RAID based on a video review), scientific experiments, and education such as courses on quantum mechanics. ....... Every minute, 15 hours worth of video are uploaded to YouTube — the equivalent of 86,000 new full length movies every week. ......... (when Venezuelan broadcaster El Observador was shut down by the government, it started broadcasting on YouTube). ....... In the future, vast libraries of movie-theater-quality video (4000+ columns) will be available instantly on any device. ....... Books are one of the greatest sources of information in the world ........ Within a couple of years, Larry was experimenting with digitizing books using a jury-rigged contraption in our office. ........ Today, we are able to search the full text of almost 10 million books. ....... millions of in-copyright, out-of-print books available for U.S. readers to search, preview, and buy online ......... increased access to users with disabilities, the creation of a non-profit registry to help others license these books, the creation of a corpus to promote basic research, and free access to full texts at a kiosk in every public library in the United States. ....... While digitizing all the world's books is an ambitious project, digitizing the world is even more challenging. ........ imagery, topography, road, buildings, and annotations. ....... After the launch of Google Map Maker in Pakistan, users mapped 25,000 kilometers of uncharted road in just two months. ......... the first self-service system known as AdWords launched in 2000 starting with 350 advertisers. ......... While these ads yielded small amounts of money compared to banner ads at the time, as the dot-com bubble burst, this system became our life preserver. ......... has helped democratize access to advertising, by creating an open marketplace where small business and start-ups can compete with well-established, well-funded companies ....... Last year, AdSense (our publisher-facing program) generated more than $5 billion dollars of revenue for our many publishing partners. ........ video ads within YouTube and dynamic ads on game websites. ....... match advertisers and publishers using the formats and mediums most appropriate to their goals and audience. .......... designed for power users with high volumes of email. ....... While our initial focus was on internal usage, it soon became clear we had something of value for the whole world. ........ Today some Googlers have more than 25 gigabytes of email going back nearly 10 years that they can search through in seconds. By the time you read this, you should be able to receive emails written in French and read them in English. ........ anywhere there is a working web browser and Internet connection ...... I am writing this letter using Google Docs. There are several other people helping me edit it simultaneously. Moments ago I stepped away and worked on it on a laptop. Without having to hit save or manage any synchronization ............ today I have worked on this document using three different operating systems and two different web browsers, all without any special software or complex logistics. ......... more than 1 million organizations use Google Apps today, including Genentech, the Washington D.C. city government, the University of Arizona, and Gothenburg University in Sweden. ......... Apps can change the way businesses operate and the speed at which they move. ........ with Google Apps Web Forms we innovated by addressing the key problem of distributed data collection, making it incredibly simple to collect survey data from within the enterprise — a critical feature for collecting internal feedback we use extensively when "dogfooding" all of our products. ......... We are working to shift all of our applications to a common infrastructure. ........ In the past couple of years, however, we decided that we wanted to make some substantial architectural changes to how web browsers work. For example, we felt that different tabs should be segregated into separate sandboxes so that one poorly functioning website does not take down the whole browser. We also felt that for us to continue to build great web services we needed much faster Javascript performance than current browsers offered. ............. a multiprocess model and a very fast JavaScript engine we call V8. ...... Chrome is not yet available on Mac and Linux so many of us, myself included, are not able to use it on a regular basis. ........ Today, the phone I carry in my pocket is more powerful than the desktop computer I used in 1998. ......... this year, more Internet-capable smartphones will ship than desktop PCs. In fact, your most "personal" computer, the one that you carry with you in your pocket, is the smartphone. ......... a third of all Google searches in Japan are coming from mobile devices ........ the ambitious goal of creating a new mobile operating system that would allow open interoperation across carriers and manufacturers. ........... To date, more than 1000 apps have been uploaded to the Android Market including Shop Savvy (which reads bar codes and then compares prices), our own Latitude, and Guitar Hero World Tour........... The past decade has seen tremendous changes in computing power amplified by the continued growth of Google's data centers. ..... Google Translate supports automatic machine translation between 1640 language pairs. ....... translated search where the query gets translated to another language and the results get translated back. .......... Google Flu Trends, a service that uses our logs data (without revealing personally identifiable information) to predict flu incidence weeks ahead of estimates by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC). ......... can do even more — going beyond monitoring to inferring potential causes and cures of disease. ....... large data sets such as search logs coupled with powerful data mining can improve the world while safe guarding privacy. ........ Computers will be 100 times faster still and storage will be 100 times cheaper. Many of the problems that we call artificial intelligence today will become accepted as standard computational capabilities, including image processing, speech recognition, and natural language processing. New and amazing computational capabilities will be born that we cannot even imagine today. ..... While about half the people in the world are online today via computers and mobile phones, the Internet will reach billions more in the coming decade. ....... enable individuals, small groups, and small businesses to accomplish tasks that only large corporations could achieve before, whether it is making and releasing a movie, marketing a product, or reporting on a war.......... When I was a child, researching anything involved a long trip to the local library and good deal of luck that one of the books there would be about the subject of interest. I could not have imagined that today anyone would be able to research any topic in seconds.
Each snowflake is unique. Each human being is unique. Each sentence that comes out of human mouths is unique. The web is the best technology we have come up with yet to take snapshots of a rather uniquely unfolding humanity.
In my blog post Hunger, Vision, Money I have tried to argue that bringing the rest of the billions online makes tremendous business sense.
In Web 5.0 Is Da Bomb and related posts I have tried to argue the biggest thing that happened in our shift from Web 1.0 to Web 2.0 is that the web got populated. And so Web 3.0 can not be about technology. Web 3.0 has to be about the human element of the web.
The web is poorer for every human being not yet online. And so it is not the semantic web that is Web 3.0. (A Web 3.0 Manifesto)
The whole thing is open source. I think that is a great business model for Google to pursue.
Google Wave is in some ways more fundamental than Gmail. It could redefine the workspace.
On the other hand, connecting is not the same as thinking. Gelling a thought, the truly innovative ideas, where do they come from? But then those fall in the human realm.
Google might have missed out on Facebook and Twitter, but it has now yet again managed to find the next big thing. Bravo. There is no web company quite like Google just like there was no desktop company quite like Microsoft.
What would be a wave liberated from the keyboard? What would be an audio only version? Is that what a conference call is?
What after Wave? What would be the next big thing?
Facebook has a long way to go, in terms of a tool for not only discovering relationships, but deepening them.
Google Search has a long, long way to go. Search remains the most fundamental application on the web. Search could be so much better than it is now.
People search, what about people search?
So tell me, what is a conversation? What is a document?
This is about simplifying life. Some people don't sign on to some social networking sites saying they don't want yet another thing to have to keep up with.
Another thing to integrate into wave would be search result snapshots. These are the 10 links you get on Google News for Obama as of such and such date and time.
Cultural habits die hard.
I also feel like old email will not go away.
Google Wave is the ultimate mashup application.
It is amazing that a small, five person team worked on this to start with. But then is that not how it almost always happens?
"Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed people can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has." - Margaret Mead.
On The Web
Google Wave Preview Google Wave Drips With Ambition. A New Communication Platform For ... the HTML 5 standard ..... the ability to run 3D games and movies in the browser without additional plug-ins ...... born out of the idea that email and instant messaging, as successful as they still are, were both created a very long time ago ..... sleek and easy way to navigate and participate in communication on the web that makes both email and instant messaging look stale ...... your Wave inbox ....... it isn’t just about new messages, there can be any kind of new content in these waves. ......... your friend will see words as you enter them, and vice versa ...... You can also edit things wiki-style with concurrent group collaboration. ........ (”Modern” is Google’s passive aggressive way of calling out Microsoft’s Internet Explorer.) ........ Google Maps (that you can edit), games, event invitations ....... wants you to be able to use it across all sites on the web ..... you could share a wave with the public ........ Google doesn’t want Wave to be another one of its apps, it wants Wave to be a communication platform that it may have started, but flourishes all over the web in a bunch of different places. ............ Bill Gates’ early insistence on having a robust developer community as one of the keys to the success of Windows ........ emphasis on developers is helping newer platforms like Android and the iPhone grow. ...... in short order, there will be a ton of gadgets, extensions, mash-ups and interesting sites all built around the Wave concept. ........ Waves created by someone communicating with Waves created by someone else ....... Google plans to open source Wave. ...... the key fundamentals Google is focusing on with HTML 5: The canvas element, the video element, geolocation, App Cache and Database and Web Workers. ......... the Web Workers. ....... run background processes outside of the browser so it doesn’t slow to a crawl which running very rich apps — which Wave is. ........ Web Workers helps turns the browser into a more full-fledged launch pad for the next generation of web apps. ..... Wave will work with Twitter ...... a wave that can translate to other languages in real-time. Introducing the Google Wave APIs: what can you build? Google Wave Developer Blog The Google Wave APIs come in two flavors: Embed and Extensions. With Embed, you're able to bring waves into your own site through a simple JavaScriptAPI. For example, embedding a wave in a webpage is a good way to encourage a discussion among the visitors. With Extensions, you're able to write programs, which are packaged as Robots or Gadgets, that provide rich functionality inside the Google Wave web client. Official Google Blog: Went Walkabout. Brought back Google Wave. We had a blast the next couple years turning Where 2's prototype mapping site into Google Maps.
Why do we have to live with divides between different types of communication — email versus chat, or conversations versus documents?
Could a single communications model span all or most of the systems in use on the web today, in one smooth continuum? How simple could we make it?
What if we tried designing a communications system that took advantage of computers' current abilities, rather than imitating non-electronic forms?
.... five-person "startup" team emerged with a prototype .... you create a wave and add people to it. Everyone on your wave can use richly formatted text, photos, gadgets, and even feeds ........ you see on your screen nearly instantly what your fellow collaborators are typing in your wave. ........ As with Android, Google Chrome, and many other Google efforts, we plan to make the code open source ....... Google Wave has three layers: the product, the platform, and the protocol:
The Google Wave product (available as a developer preview) is the web application people will use to access and edit waves. It's an HTML 5 app, built on Google Web Toolkit. It includes a rich text editor and other functions like desktop drag-and-drop (which, for example, lets you drag a set of photos right into a wave).
Google Wave can also be considered a platform with a rich set of open APIs that allow developers to embed waves in other web services, and to build new extensions that work inside waves.
The Google Wave protocol is the underlying format for storing and the means of sharing waves, and includes the "live" concurrency control, which allows edits to be reflected instantly across users and services. The protocol is designed for open federation, such that anyone's Wave services can interoperate with each other and with the Google Wave service. To encourage adoption of the protocol, we intend to open source the code behind Google Wave.
.... the Google Wave Developer blog Google Wave ichly formatted text, photos, videos, maps ...... combine Gmail and Google Docs ...... "Back in early 2004, Google took an interest in a tiny mapping startup called Where 2 Tech, founded by my brother Jens and me. We were excited to join Google and help create what would become Google Maps. .......... richly formatted text, photos, gadgets, and even feeds from other sources on the web. ....... allows for both collaboration and communication. You can also use "playback" to rewind the wave to see how it evolved. .... Google Wave will be available later this year. MoMB: Google Wave Gizmodo - Google Wave Is a Frothy Collaborative Mix of Chat, IM ... a live chatroom with a spread of documents, photos and/or videos, where you can reply to any part of any message or anything that's shared, and it's all real-time. ..... free-wheeling mesh of Twitter, IM, Friendfeed really, any other kind of service presenting semi-real-time stuff in a stream ...... ultimate service for people with ADD, or enterprise looking to simulate the feeling of 10 people standing around a desk scattered with a bunch of projects, but you're all able to work on any of them simultaneously while you're also whispering to the cute girl across the table about the new sushi place around the corner Google Wave: What Might Email Look Like If It Were Invented Today ...the power of HTML 5to match functionality long experienced in desktop applications. ....... a profound advance in the state of the art. ...... this project, carried out secretly at Google's Sydney office over the past two years ....... messages no longer need to be sent from one place to another, but could become a conversation in the cloud ....... elements drawn from email, instant messaging, social networking, and even wikis. ....... Jens had the idea back in 2004, when Google first acquired the company that became Google Maps ........ email and instant messaging, were originally designed in the '60s to imitate analog formats — email mimicked snail mail, and IM mimicked phone calls. ....... email versus chat, or conversations versus documents ....... a single communications model ...... a communications system that took advantage of computers' current abilities, rather than imitating non-electronic forms ...... the amount and quality of participation goes up radically when comments can be interleaved at a paragraph level. ........ First generation email/IM integration let you see when someone was online, and opt to instant message someone rather than send them an email. Wave simply erases the distinction. ..... a lot of time in IM is spent waiting for the other person to press 'Done' ........ Google's relentless focus on reducing the latency of online actions is bringing the online experience closer and closer to our real world experience of face-to-face communication ....... Drop photos onto a wave and see the thumbnails appear on the other person's machine before the photos are even finished uploading ....... conversations become shared documents ....... you don't have to make the choice between discussing and collaborating ....... a document with lots of discussion and edits can become pretty messy. No problem. You can export an edited wave as a new wave, and start over. ........ "waves are tree-shaped sets of messages. You can shape a subtree, or a sub-conversation and limit the set of participants in any way you like." .......... Wave will become as ubiquitous and interoperable as email and instant messaging ...... a new fundamental service on the net. ...... web applications can not only match, but can even beat the functionality of native apps ......... commitment to the lightweight nature of the web, to real-time, to lightweight components connected by open protocols rather than to monolithic systems. Twave: Google Wave + Twitter a potential game changer in the realm of of email, IM, and project management ..... Google Wave and Twitter are both forms of real-time communication, so why not bring them together? ....... a full stream of your Twitter feed within Google Wave. ........ you can manage them like you would email, with replies, archiving ....... Bloggy: Pushes wave content to a blog ...... Bidder: You can turn a Wave into your own eBay ....... The web is truly transforming into a real-time engine Google Wave API - Google Code A Sneak Peak at Google Wave
"If you kick it around enough, it starts to look like a ball." - Skip Shuda
"The greatest danger for most of us is not that we aim too high and we miss it, but we aim too low and reach it." - Michelangelo
"Imagination is more important than knowledge, for knowledge is limited to all we now know and understand, while imagination embraces the entire world, and all there ever will be to know and understand." —Albert Einstein
Why would someone, anyone come with me now? I am not a certified engineer. I am not rich. I feel like I have been both a high school and a college dropout. Why come along? Why come with me? Why team up with me? Why invest in my round one? Why believe?
"Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things that you didn't do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbor. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore. Dream. Discover." - Mark Twain
"The greatest reward in becoming a millionaire is not the amount of money that you earn. It is the kind of person that you have to become to become a millionaire in the first place." - Jim Rohn
"An entrepreneur tends to bite off a little more than he can chew hoping he'll quickly learn how to chew it. - Roy Ash, co-founder of Litton Industries
You have to feel the hunger. Everyone I know is online. If that is your line, you might not have the hunger. You have to have a passion for search to go work for Google. To connect every human mind to the web, and then some. That is the vision statement for my startup. If you don't feel for the five billion plus that are not online, you are not coming along. That's the bargain. You have to liberate a people if you are serious. Once a people can vote, they are in a position to help themselves. Internet access is the voting right for this 21st century. Today Mahatma Gandhi would have poured his energy into internet access for the billions. MLK would have . It is broadband that will bridge the gap between the west and the rest.
I grew up in the poorest country outside of Africa. I have the hunger. Do you? You don't have to have grown up in a poor country to have the hunger. You could simply care.
People who can't pay for food, how will they pay for broadband? They can pay because every human being has something called mindspace. Every human being is capable of consuming ads. I can't think of one village on the planet where Coke does not want to put up a billboard. They want to keep reinforcing the brand name. (Brands Will Still Matter) Broadband catalyzes work on all the other noble goals like fighting poverty, liberating people, conquering hunger and disease. Electricity is fundamental to economic activity. Broadband is like that, only much, much bigger.
"Business opportunities are like buses, there's always another one coming." - Richard Branson, founder of Virgin Enterprises
Vision
"I never perfected an invention that I did not think about in terms of the service it might give others... I find out what the world needs, then I proceed to invent." - Thomas Edison
Are you someone who gets excited by new ideas? If new ideas threaten you, this is not for you. Do blinding visions blind you, or do they awaken you, stretch you? Are you too comfortable in your comfort zone? Are you risk averse as a rule? Or can you stretch? Because this startup has a panoramic vision. The idea is not to set up a corner coffee shop. The vision has global ambitions. This is not for the faint hearted.
"We were young, but we had good advice and good ideas and lots of enthusiasm." - Bill Gates, founder of Microsoft Corporation
Money
"The cover-your-butt mentality of the workplace will get you only so far. The follow-your-gut mentality of the entrepreneur has the potential to take you anywhere you want to go or run you right out of business--but it's a whole lot more fun, don't you think?" - Bill Rancic
If you have 100,000 dollars to invest, you should put 10K into this, or something like this. Most people never get an opportunity to come into the round one of a company that is headed for Nasdaq. If you have 10K to invest, you would be lucky to put 2K into something like this. Because the growth is astronomical. This is the oil beneath the ground in your backyard you did not know about. This is your winning lottery ticket. The risks are huge. That is why the rewards are humongous. To invest, to team up. Oh, the lure.
If a company's valuation goes from five million to 50 billion in 20 years, a $2,000 investment in round one has become 20,000,000. What could you on your own do to take your 2,000 to 20,000,000 in about 20 years? Many companies have achieved this kind of a growth trajectory before. This is no science fiction. This is history.
The rewards are huge for those who invest early, and team up early. I have not made a final decision on the formula for ownership stakes yet, but broadly speaking, earlier you join the team and higher up you are on the team chart, more your share. Anyone who leaves or is asked to leave before the company goes public goes to zero ownership. I want to come up with a new formula that is fair also to people who might team up five years after the company has gone public.
"My son is now an 'entrepreneur'. That's what you're called when you don't have a job." - Ted Turner, broadcasting entrepreneur
Simple and affordable. For you. For the casual and serious investor alike. One of the lower charging online brokers. 10,000 types of mutual funds offered.
This is a great online only place for early investors. It is cheap, it is easy. They don't ask for a minimum amount in the thousands of dollars before you can start investing.
The site is very easy to navigate. It scores high on functionality. Firstrade does stocks, bonds, mutual funds. Many reviewers have ranked it above Schwab, Ameritrade and Etrade.
Google is a search engine. Wolfram Alpha is an answer engine. Microsoft is a desktop company. Google is an internet company. Google is a search engine. Facebook is a social site.
Yahoo's boast of wanting to "kill those 10 blue lines" is on the vacant side. Microsoft wanting to rename and remarket an old search engine is not exactly challenging: where's the innovation? But Wolfram Alpha does kill those "10 blue lines." That is its strength and weakness.
100 million queries? Come on. That is prime real estate already. And the site was selling ad space before it launched. Smart. A sound answer engine and a sound business model: what else do you need to fuel growth?
It has a small database for now. But that will change as it makes more money and has more resources. But it is good enough now to make good money now.
Wolfram Alpha is not a Google challenger, I don't think so. But what if it were? Look at how fast it hit 100 million queries. That might be the real news. Google, be awake, be very awake. https://twitter.com/paramendra/status/1908944676
You know how you can watch a video clip on YouTube, and then you can get the code to embed that clip on to your blog? I wish this answer engine had a similar share/embed appendage.
But I guess you can always just plain link: New York.
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