Marc Andreessen

The Pmarca Guide to Startups, part 2: When the VCs say "no"
Part 3 “But I don’t know any VCs!”
Part 4 The only thing that matters
Part 5 The Moby Dick theory of big companies

I was always wary about whether or not entrepreneurship was really for me. On the surface, it seemed unreliable and unsustainable.

I decided to baby-step into the world utilizing my spare time to pick up small freelance gigs while still holding down a full-time job. (1/5)🧵👇

— Morgan Overholt | $600k Upworker (@MorganOMedia) February 28, 2023

I’ve done $2M in income in 2.5 years as a solopreneur.

And I didn't write a single line of code.

My 14 "must use" no-code tools:

[🧵 thread]

— Justin Welsh (@thejustinwelsh) April 19, 2022

“In February alone, #TwitterDown experienced at least four widespread outages,compared with nine in all of 2022…fears that there are not enough people or institutional knowledge to triage ...problems”…@nytimes

Under the sway of a Bond villain.https://t.co/NnyNk4aqac

— Bonnie Greer (@Bonn1eGreer) March 1, 2023

I made $0 online in 2019.

3 years later:

- 100M+ impressions
- $1.7M in online income
- 4 successful revenue streams

What changed?

I started writing online every day.

Here's my simple 4-step process.

[Short 🧵]

— Justin Welsh (@thejustinwelsh) January 26, 2022

the structure of bias

— Paramendra Kumar Bhagat (@paramendra) March 1, 2023

फरक प्रस्ताव लैजाने भनिरहेको माओवादीले गर्‍यो कोशीकै पक्षमा मतदान@rajuadhikari14 reports:https://t.co/w610Atw5Oq

— Sudeep Shrestha (@sudeepshree) March 1, 2023

पहिचानको सपना देखाएको माओवादीले नै लत्तो छाडेपछि प्रदेश १ को नाम 'कोशी' राख्ने प्रस्तावमाथि बुधबार संसदमा छलफल चलिरहँदा जनता समाजवादी पार्टी (जसपा) की नेता निर्मला लिम्बूका आँखाबाट आँसुको कोशी बग्दै थियो। ...... प्रदेश १ यस्तो थलो हो, जहाँ पहिचानका लागि लामो आन्दोलन चलेको थियो। कुनै बेला ठूलो आकारको उक्त आन्दोलन अहिले खुम्चिँदै गएको छ। तर पहिचानसहितको संघीयताका लागि अहिले पनि एउटा तप्का निरन्तर संघर्षरत छ। ....... २०६२–६३ को जनआन्दोलनलगत्तै उठेको मधेस विद्रोहले मुलुकमा संघीयतालाई अवश्यम्भावी तुल्याएको थियो। त्यस क्रममा धेरैको ज्यान गएको थियो। त्यसअघि माओवादी सशस्त्र विद्रोहले पहिचानमा आधारित प्रदेशहरूको सपना देशव्यापी बनाइसकेको थियो। त्यो सपनामा प्राण भर्ने काम मधेस, थारू र पूर्वको लिम्बूवान आन्दोलनले गरेको थियो। ........ एमाले र कांग्रेस मिलेपछि नामकरण गर्न दुईतिहाइ मत पुग्थ्यो। एमालेको ४० र कांग्रेसको २९ मतमा राप्रपाको ६ मत थपिँदा आरामदायी संख्या पुग्थ्यो। यस्तो अवस्थामा फरक प्रस्ताव लैजान माओवादी तयार भएन। ........ 'नाम चाहिँ पहिचानसहितको चाहिने अनि भोट चाहिँ कांग्रेस र एमालेलाई दिने? हामीले मात्रै कति मुद्दा बोक्ने?' ......... 'माओवादी अब न पहिचानमा छ, न वर्गमा, न कुनै वैचारिकीमा,' उनले भने, 'माओवादी केवल कुर्सी खेलमा छ। त्यसैले कोशी होस् वा सगरमाथा, खास नेतृत्वका केही साँघुरा स्वार्थ सम्बोधन भए ऊ सहभागी भइहाल्छ।' ...... केन्द्रीय गठबन्धनमा राष्ट्रपति चुनावले खटपट ल्याएकै बेला माओवादी, कांग्रेस र राप्रपाको समर्थन जुटाएर नाम राख्न सफल भएको जस मुख्यमनत्री हिक्मत कार्कीले पाउने भएका छन्। ........... सत्तारूढ नेकपा एमालेको प्रस्तावमा मुख्य विपक्षी कांग्रेस, सत्तारूढ माओवादी केन्द्र र राप्रपाका सांसदहरूले समर्थन जनाउँदा प्रदेश नामकरण दुईतिहाइभन्दा बढी मतले पारित भएको हो। सभामुख बाबुराम गौतमले प्रदेशको नाम कोशी राखिनुपर्छ भन्ने प्रस्तावका पक्षमा ८२ मत परेको घोषणा गरेका छन्। विपक्षमा भने जम्मा ४ मत परेको थियो।

Facebook's Financial Woes Are Unnecessary

Image via CrunchBase

LinkedIn makes a ton of money off of your resume there even when you don't log in for weeks, months. Because your resume is data. Facebook has a larger user base, a more engaged user base. It is constantly collecting data. But it is not monetizing it like LinkedIn is monetizing it.

Facebook's monetization so far has been like if Google had run banner ads like Yahoo back in 2002. That would have been such a dud.

The top mobile app on all smartphone and tablet platforms - Facebook - struggles with mobile. That's pathetic. The top site to collect data on human behavior struggles with monetization. That's pathetic.

Facebook At $25: This Is Not A Glitch
Fred Wilson, Mark Zuckerberg And Mobile
Facebook And Big Data
Fractals: Apple, Windows 95, Netscape, Google, Facebook, Twitter
Finally Facebook Lets Me Reach Out To Non Friends
The Twins Were Rowing Boats

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2015: A Mobile Tech Company Will Storm The Room

Image by Emiliano Elias via FlickrYou did not foresee Netscape in 1990, or Google in 1995, you did not foresee Facebook in 2000. I have a feeling there will be a similarly monumental mobile tech company that will enter the scene around 2015. It is hard to predict what shape or form it will take. It is even harder to locate the founder. But she/he will sure worth be betting on, even if you can only come into her round two, or round three. But such visionaries are hard to locate even when they have already entered round three.

Over time I am going to try and foresee the details of such a company. But I admit right now I have no clue. Broad generalizations don't count. But let me take a crack at the situation.

Fractals And FoodSpotting

I don't know but I am guessing there are a few different players in what I call the specific check in space, but I only know one: FoodSpotting. And if there are others, FoodSpotting sure has the best seat in the house. Checking into a book, or movie or music is not actually checking in. It is not location specific. The Like button by any other name.

Much of the special going out involves eating and drinking for many people. And each such check in place, by definition, is a business. Caching. As opposed to when someone checks into Central Park - and people do - that is hard to monetize. Street vendors: don't count on them.

Twitter Should Go For A Netscape-Like IPO

Netscape was just a browser. It was not making any money. But it went public. It acquired a market value of billions overnight. That launched the dot com craze. That might have partly been responsible for many dot com booms and busts in the years ahead. The message that a business need not make money was, well, wrong. But the internet was very real, the web was very real, dot com was as real as it gets.

I think Twitter should similarly go public. And with the newfound wealth it should start zapping up companies left and right in the Twitter ecosystem. It should integrate all the hottest features into Twitter itself.

A tweet is like the atom in physics. A tweet is the building block to so many wonderful things. Twitter is utility. It is that fundamental. The revenue generation can wait. With the Netscape browser it was hard to imagine how money was going to be made. With Twitter, it is not that hard.

Are Bing and Google paying Twitter money to be able to search through all the tweets? Why did Twitter not do what Sponsored Tweets and Ad.ly are doing?

Twitter has to evolve and evolve fast if it is to go past the tech elite. You don't end up with a billion users if you stick to the same old same old. Rapid expansion asks for acquisitions. Acquisitions are done

Cover of Relapse

with money. After you go public, you have loads of cash.

A Twitter IPO might help jerk America out of its economic slumber of over a year. The craze would begin all over again.

I Have Access To Twitter Lists
Jeff Jarvis, Me And Twitter
I Must Be Following A Lot Of People On Twitter
NYC Twitter Elite: Number 12
Twitter Top 100 NYC: I Am In
Twitter Top 100 NYC
Make Money On Twitter
Twitter Top 0.1%
Twitter Should Hand Over Search To Google
Twitter Number 115 In New York City
Twitter, TechCrunch, And The Stolen Docs
The Best Follow Friday I Ever Received On Twitter
Space, Time And Twitter: Are There Plant Twitters?
My Twitter Suspension Lifted
Can Tweet Google, Can't Tweet Twitter
Monetizing Twitter: A Few Ideas
How To Increase Your Following On Twitter
Is Google Wave Social Enough To Challenge Facebook, Twitter?
Real Time Search: Twitter Is Not Doing It
Google Falling Behind Twitter?

Eminem: The Relapse: Twitter
Converting To The Mass Follow Formula On Twitter
NewsDesk: China, Twitter, Hawking, Obama
Digg Button, Twitter Button For Your Blog Posts
Twitter Is Not Micro
The Depth Of Your Friendships At Twitter
Goal: A Billion People On Twitter
Fractals: Apple, Windows 95, Netscape, Google, Facebook, Twitter
I Talked To Google Through Twitter And It Worked Like Magic
Twitter And The Time Dimension
TweetDeck, Power Twitter, Twitter Globe, Better Than Facebook
TCC: Twitter Community College
Twitter Tips: It's A Bird, It's A Bird
Mitch Kapor Now Following Me On Twitter
I Get Twitter

My Relationship With Ashton Kutcher 

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Is Google Wave Social Enough To Challenge Facebook, Twitter?

Social is central to Facebook. A different kind of social is central to Twitter. But if Google Wave is going to be a mere appendage to the larger Google offerings, social is going to be peripheral. But Google is not trying to enmesh Google Wave to the rest of its offerings. If anything I get the impression Google is working hard to release the pigeon. Fly, pigeon, fly.

Google Wave wants to be fundamental to the web experience like Google Search has been fundamental to the web experience. The word wave is going to become like the word tweet, like the word stream. I like the water metaphors. Water is my favorite substance. Water best represents the inherent formlessness of a nimble mind.

So is a stand alone Google Wave capable of challenging Facebook and Twitter? I am not worried about the stand alone part. Google could not have kept Android in-house like Microsoft has kept Windows in-house. Google Wave is a creature of the wild west. It can not be kept in-house. But releasing the pigeon is also the best possible business decision for Google the company. A vibrant Google Wave will expand the Google space. A vibrant Android is going to vastly expand the Google space. A larger cloud, a more happening cloud just gives more and more room to Google ads. And that is where the money is for Google. Giving away is great business practice. Giving away is tens of billions in new dollars.



So does Google Wave stand to challenge Facebook and Twitter, the two services that seemed to have stolen the buzz from Google these past few years? The short answer is Google Wave is the next big thing.

Stream 2.0: The Next Big Thing?
Fractals: Apple, Windows 95, Netscape, Google, Facebook, Twitter
The Search Results, The Links, The Inbox, The Stream

Just like Twitter stole the buzz from Facebook, Google Wave is going to steal the buzz from Twitter. Twitter will still be around like Facebook is still around and growing, but the sexy glow is going to shift over to Google Wave.

The question again pops up: so, what's the next big thing after Wave? The next big thing after Wave might no longer be in that 2D space occupied by Google, Facebook, Twitter and Wave. (Google's Newest Venture: Google Ventures) Wave attempts something that is very close to face to face communication. Maybe the next, next big thing is face time itself. Maybe the next, next, next big thing is not in the technological realm, but in the human realm.

Or maybe I am a little premature in my declaration. If the next thing after the stream was the wave, maybe the next thing after the wave will be the tsunami. (Of Waves And Tsunamis) Tsunami might be a technological development. We might realize when a million or 10 million - or a hundred million Chinese - create waves, we end up with a tsunami, and that tsunami can not be intelligently handled by the current wave technology, it needs a whole new set of tools and massive, new capabilities. The sum is not the whole of the parts. The sum is a whole new reality. A cell is made up of atoms, but a cell is a new level of reality.

A Web 3.0 Manifesto

Twitter has been more interesting to me than Facebook for months now. I was up at 1500 friends at Facebook and Facebook went ahead and deleted my account. I created a new one. I have less than 600 friends now with about 70 friend requests I have not approved.

My number one urge at Facebook was I wanted to say hello to people I had not met, but wanted to say hello to. I wanted to meet new people. But I kept hitting glass walls and ceilings.

At Twitter meeting new people is all the rage. That is why I like Twitter so much.

You create a wave by inviting people, so you start out by limiting yourself to people you already know. But person A knows person B knows person C knows person D, but person A does not know C and D. So a wave can be created with a group of people who don't all know each other. And ultimately a wave can be published like a blog post. At that point anyone can participate, not necessarily in the same wave, but there are comments sections, you can link to a wave, you can quote from it.

Twitter was an answer to a major gripe I had with Facebook. Why can't I meet new people? Wave might be an answer to my other Facebook gripe. Why can't I deepen my relationship with my existing friends? A wave lets you deepen your understanding of people around you. Conversations and collaborations like never before become possible.

Of course the wave is social. So if the wave is social and if it is the next big thing after Facebook and Twitter, does it stand to challenge Facebook and Twitter?

Yes.

Real Time Search: Twitter Is Not Doing It
Google Falling Behind Twitter?
Eminem: The Relapse: Twitter
Facebook's Ad Space Is Different
Facebook Faceoff Firefox
What Should Facebook Do
TweetDeck, Power Twitter, Twitter Globe, Better Than Facebook

I am not predicting the death of Facebook, I am not predicting the death of Twitter. But the two have just been told they are but niche products. Ultimately all products are but niche products.

Of Waves And Tsunamis
Google Wave: Wave Of The Future?
Google Wave: If Email Were Invented Today

From The Google Blogs

Google Wave team heads to Google Developer Days in Asia
Introducing the Google Wave APIs: what can you build?
Went Walkabout. Brought back Google Wave.
Search billions of documents with the Google Search Appliance 6.0
The Local Business Center dashboard opens its doors
Blog search and beyond
The Day in the Cloud Challenge featuring Google Apps on June 24th
Search engineer stories
Kicking off 2nd annual Google I/O developer gathering
New Logo Look
Netlog integrates with Google Friend Connect
Put the pedal to the metal with a faster Google Chrome

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Wolfram Alpha: An Answer Engine, Not A Search Engine

Image via CrunchBase

• Wolfram Apha Is Cool

Wolfram Alpha Approaches 100 Million Queries Mashable

Google is a search engine. Wolfram Alpha is an answer engine. Microsoft is a desktop company. Google is an internet company. Google is a search engine. Facebook is a social site.

Fractals: Apple, Windows 95, Netscape, Google, Facebook, Twitter

Wolfram Alpha is an answer engine. It is not even trying to compete with Google, but it is already a niche king.

Content Is Queen, Marketing Is Princess

Yahoo's boast of wanting to "kill those 10 blue lines" is on the vacant side. Microsoft wanting to rename and remarket an old search engine is not exactly challenging: where's the innovation? But Wolfram Alpha does kill those "10 blue lines." That is its strength and weakness.

100 million queries? Come on. That is prime real estate already. And the site was selling ad space before it launched. Smart. A sound answer engine and a sound business model: what else do you need to fuel growth?

Google Is Working On Search

It has a small database for now. But that will change as it makes more money and has more resources. But it is good enough now to make good money now.

Wolfram Alpha is not a Google challenger, I don't think so. But what if it were? Look at how fast it hit 100 million queries. That might be the real news. Google, be awake, be very awake.

https://twitter.com/paramendra/status/1908944676

You know how you can watch a video clip on YouTube, and then you can get the code to embed that clip on to your blog? I wish this answer engine had a similar share/embed appendage.

But I guess you can always just plain link: New York.

http://www.wolframalpha.com

In The News

Hyped-up Wolfram Alpha gets delta-minus from me New Zealand Herald

Wolfram Alpha: A new way to ask Web for answers Orlando Sentinel

A computational knowledge engine for factual queries Hindu

Wolfram Alpha is the new Wolfram Alpha, not the new Google Pandia
Website of the Week — Wolfram Alpha Voice of America

Wolfram Alpha doesn't impress me FierceContentManagement

Wolfram Alpha won't ask and won't tell ZDNet

Wolfram Alpha and its architecture of failure CNET News
Sizing up Google's new search rivals VNUNet.com

Wolfram Alpha asks searching questions of the web Financial Times

New Search Engines Show Companies Haven't Given Up Fighting Giants findingDulcinea

Too many searches, not enough results GulfNews
Wolfram Alpha gets supercomputer boost CNET News

Search Engine Wolfram Alpha Focuses on Great Answers -- Not Movie ... PC World

Wolfram Alpha to Run On Supercomputers PC Magazine

Wolfram Alpha has a blog! ZDNet
Wolfram Alpha shows data in a way Google can't CNET News

Wolfram Alpha could be useful for researchers FierceContentManagement

Wolfram Alpha:Gives Answers Directly Unlike Google Techtree.com

Wolfram Alpha: A potential 'Google Killer'? International Business Times
Inside the complicated mind of Wolfram Alpha CNET News

How Wolfram Alpha Compares to Google, Wikipedia PC Magazine

Google Squared and Wolfram Alpha The Week Magazine

Will Google Squared make GOOG a better research tool? ZDNet

Google Rolls Out New Digital Tools Forbes
Wolfram Alpha -- behind the hype SmartBrief

A holiday, new search engines Bismarck Tribune

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Facebook's Ad Space Is Different

Image via CrunchBase

I have never doubted Facebook will make gobbles of money. And I have been perfectly comfortable with their scaling the service first. Scale it first, worry about revenue later. None of Facebook's early investors have come across as impatient. Zuckerberg himself came out a few days earlier saying he is in no hurry to take the company public. That perhaps is a nod to the bad shape economy, but also to the fact that with or without the economy Facebook is not ready yet.

Facebook Faceoff Firefox

Facebook is different from Google and it is different from Twitter. Facebook came after Google and before Twitter in the genealogy of things tech.

I think the Facebook site is pretty nifty in terms of technology, I mean look at that font size. But Facebook's number one contribution is not the technology, it is the social graph, as the Facebookers like to call it. It is not search like it is for Google, it is not the stream like it is for Twitter, it is the social graph.

Facebook does not compete with Twitter. Facebook is better off taking the social graph concept to new levels. Okay, so I can stay in touch with my friends through Facebook regardless of if they are in the same town or country or not, but can I deepen my existing friendships through Facebook, can I have social concentric circles? Not all friends are equal. Some are inner circle friends, some are not so inncer circle. Can I have that on Facebook? Can I have a core of status updates meant only for immediate family?

Fractals: Apple, Windows 95, Netscape, Google, Facebook, Twitter

In digging through the data and making sense of a user's social connections and social activities, Facebook stands to create that special ad space. Google's attitude is, if you did a search on smartphones, maybe I should show you ads on smartphones, and you will click on one of the ads and make me some money. Facebook's attitude will be, you have been interacting with Iqbal and 10 others more frequently than with any of your other 500 Facebook friends, and Iqbal just bought a smartphone, I think you will too if given the opportunity, what if I show you an ad for a smartphone, or better, what if I get Iqbal to show you an ad for the very smartphone he just bought? Let him brag about it. Let me stay out of it.

What Should Facebook Do

That is lucrative ad space. Facebook will keep getting a better and better idea of any user's social graph over time. And the better it is, more defined its ad space is, and more lucrative that ad space. It is new and it is different. It sure is early stage. But once they get onto it, I think they are going to be minting money. Facebook is going to take the idea of online shopping to a whole different level.

TweetDeck, Power Twitter, Twitter Globe, Better Than Facebook

I for one can imagine Facebook becoming bigger than China. It might take a few years, but it will get there. It is okay if it takes more than a few years, if it takes a decade, that's fine too.

Microsoft, Google, Facebook: NY Tech MeetUp Has Arrived

My long held Facebook fantassy has been that it should not just be a place where you keep in touch with people you are already friends with, it should also be a place where you meet new people to become friends with. Facebook added a Like button. How about adding a Hello button? We might not know each other, but what if I want to say hello?

The Unfacebook
Facebook

And how about Facebook Enterprise? Could the site offer team building tools?

Facebook needs sociologists, and ethnographers and anthropologists and social activists as much as it needs programmers and technologists. It is a social graph company not a tech graph company.

In The News

Learning, and Profiting, from Online Friendships BusinessWeek Companies are working fast to figure out how to make money from the wealth of data they're beginning to have about our online friendships ...... For social scientists, Watts says, this flood of data could be as transformative as Galileo's telescope was for the physical sciences ..... Tailoring offers based on friends' responses helped lift the average click rate from 0.9% to 2.7%. Although 97.3% of the people surfed past the ads, the click rate still tripled. ....... Friendship data promise insights into not only the marketplace but also the corporation. Researchers can trace the hidden networks ........ One key laboratory for IBM is its internal social network called Beehive, in which nearly 60,000 ........ Each new friend plugs an IBM worker into another sphere of knowledge and human contacts. ...... while each of us likely will switch jobs seven or eight times in our careers, we continue to build a network of friends that can sustain us. ...... LinkedIn's Hoffman ..... has 1,864 contacts on LinkedIn. ..... the contacts outside of our close friendships are more likely to lead us to new opportunities. Their networks have less overlap and extend into different areas. ........ trading information, creating alliances, doing favors ....... the value in online friendship is poised to grow.
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What Just Happened?

Yesterday I had 700 plus followers. This morning when I woke up I had 800 plus followers. I was pleased. But only a few hours later now I have over 1400 followers on Twitter. What just happened? This is rather drastic.

I am not complaining, quite the contrary. But I don't know what brought this about.

Content Is Queen, Marketing Is Princess
Job Hunting And 2.0




I hope my blog traffic sees a similar jump in traffic.

I can't put my finger on as to what brought this about. But, for the record, I am not going to stress about it. I don't need to know. As long as this keeps happening, I want you to know, I am o-k-a-y.

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